Business Trends for Video Content Delivery

An excellent analysis of the likely inaccurate valuation of cable networks in recent times is found in the Wall Street Journal dated November 7-8, 2009 entitled, Media Eyes Are Still Blinded by Cable by Martin Peers. 

Recent years have seen increasing profit for cable television systems and the associated content that they generate. Whether the content is the Discovery Channel, Travel Channel or HBO, the fees that customers pay to watch this content has increased steadily. By contrast, the advertising fees paid to traditional television networks have not kept pace. This trend has led to higher and higher market values in recent years for cable content. Recent transactions such as The Scripps Networks Interactive purchase of the Travel Channel for a rich multiple on earnings suggests that the market believes that the income growth for cable television content will continue well into the future.

Is this market conclusion reasonable? As the television manufacturers begin building television systems that make accessing streamed video content over the internet easier and easier with the deployment of widget engines, the public is likely to find more and more of their television content on the web and on demand. This could be a challenging environment for the less known cable content as it competes with new content from the web that has never been available on the traditional cable systems. 

It seems very likely that the audience will fracture even further than it has as television viewers expanded their attention from the major networks to a host of lesser known cable channels. With video content available more easily over the web, the market will likely see a "Long Tail" effect leaving even smaller audiences for the traditional networks and for the cable channel content that has been available in recent years.

These changes are coming very quickly and yet the market value of cable television content does not seem to reflect this evolution.

As always, I want to leave you with a pitch for using the Louisiana digital interactive tax credit program. If businesses are developing web platforms to stream video over the internet, Louisiana is a great location to develop the platforms and the video content using Louisiana's video production and digital interactive media tax credit programs. An enormous opportunity exists in the next few years for the emergence of such web platforms and their video production partners. If you need to know more about these programs, I would be happy to speak with you.

Erich P Rapp

 

Popular Mechanics Magazine, Digital Interactive Media and the Trouble with Cable Television

When I was a young boy, I enjoyed reading the articles in Popular Mechanics Magazine. The articles usually involved an electronics kit or some similar  "do it yourself" project. Whatever they were suggesting in the magazine was always a few years ahead of a product in the consumer market. That meant no one else had it, and that was a good thing to me. I was a geek and so were my friends.

Today at 46 years old, I am something of a magazine addict. I know that is a very "low tech" thing, but I still like turning printed pages in a magazine. Best of all today, the marketplace for magazines is so weak that a subscription to the typical magazine is less than $10 for a year of issues delivered to the house. It's a bargain by any standard. This interest and economic condition led me to a subscription to my boyhood magazine, Popular Mechanics. 

Popular Mechanics has changed significantly since I was a young, but one thing is the same, the magazine is still trying to present imaginative ways for the reader to get ahead of the consumer product market with some wit and elbow grease. You can still find a current version of those "how to..." articles of my youth in the magazine. You can get tips on soldering a circuit board or cooling a computer processor. If you follow their instructions and use some imagination, you can have something cool (by teenage geek standards) that no one else you know will have.

I have been writing regularly here and elsewhere about the challenges that cable television companies are facing from video streamed over broadband internet and the adaption of your television to receive that streaming video. I have concluded that cable television companies are facing a serious challenge to their existence from video streamed over broadband internet.

An article entitled, Ditch Cable, Save Cash in the May 2009 Popular Mechanics magazine confirmed everything I had been thinking. Popular Mechanics was suggesting that their reader, the electronics hobbyist, could save, on average, over $700 per year by canceling their subscription to the local cable television service and replacing it with a combination of an old fashion television antenna and video streamed through broadband internet access.

Of course, this approach is not yet as user friendly as a remote control on a digital cable box, but nothing presented in Popular Mechanics ever was. If, however, the past is any indicator of the future, the subject of this article will be the basis of many consumer products in the years head. In fact, the idea will be widely available in the large stores selling televisions by Christmas 2009 in the form of HDTV's that will stream video over broadband internet using a "widget engine" as an internet channel controller.  

Cable television companies are riding a gravy train of profit today. Video streamed over the internet has done almost nothing yet to damage them, but their business model is in serious trouble in the years ahead. They know it.

Can Louisiana play an important economic role in this evolution. If the Louisiana legislature and the Governor enact Senate Bill 277. this spring, Louisiana will see a river of new digital interactive media business flow into this state including potentially the replacement of the current business model for cable television, and Louisiana will become a leader in this digital interactive media industry. Senate Bill 277 is a business incentives program for bringing digital interactive businesses to Louisiana.

Erich P Rapp.

Senator Landrieu Promotes Rural Broadband Internet Access

Senator Mary Landrieu spoke at the Lincoln Parish Library in Ruston, Louisiana on Monday April 13, 2008. She sought to encourage smaller communities in Louisiana to make applications for grants for funding installation of rural broadband Internet access pursuant to the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act.

Senator Landrieu and the Obama administration are concerned with closing the "digital divide" which has resulted in urban and high income areas having accesss to broadband Internet and rural and low income areas lacking such access.

According to Landrieu, the federal stimulus plan will provide approximately $3 billion for creating increased rural and low income broadband internet access.

For more on this story see the news article in the Ruston Daily Leader on Tuesday April 14, 2009 by Laura Bond entitled, Landrieu Lauds Broadband.

Erich P. Rapp.