Business Trends for Video Content Delivery

An excellent analysis of the likely inaccurate valuation of cable networks in recent times is found in the Wall Street Journal dated November 7-8, 2009 entitled, Media Eyes Are Still Blinded by Cable by Martin Peers. 

Recent years have seen increasing profit for cable television systems and the associated content that they generate. Whether the content is the Discovery Channel, Travel Channel or HBO, the fees that customers pay to watch this content has increased steadily. By contrast, the advertising fees paid to traditional television networks have not kept pace. This trend has led to higher and higher market values in recent years for cable content. Recent transactions such as The Scripps Networks Interactive purchase of the Travel Channel for a rich multiple on earnings suggests that the market believes that the income growth for cable television content will continue well into the future.

Is this market conclusion reasonable? As the television manufacturers begin building television systems that make accessing streamed video content over the internet easier and easier with the deployment of widget engines, the public is likely to find more and more of their television content on the web and on demand. This could be a challenging environment for the less known cable content as it competes with new content from the web that has never been available on the traditional cable systems. 

It seems very likely that the audience will fracture even further than it has as television viewers expanded their attention from the major networks to a host of lesser known cable channels. With video content available more easily over the web, the market will likely see a "Long Tail" effect leaving even smaller audiences for the traditional networks and for the cable channel content that has been available in recent years.

These changes are coming very quickly and yet the market value of cable television content does not seem to reflect this evolution.

As always, I want to leave you with a pitch for using the Louisiana digital interactive tax credit program. If businesses are developing web platforms to stream video over the internet, Louisiana is a great location to develop the platforms and the video content using Louisiana's video production and digital interactive media tax credit programs. An enormous opportunity exists in the next few years for the emergence of such web platforms and their video production partners. If you need to know more about these programs, I would be happy to speak with you.

Erich P Rapp

 

More on Sony's New E-Reader

I realize that I may be overly focused in this blog on e-publishing, but I think this technology is ground breaking in a number of ways. An e-book reader encompass a number of important trends in technology hardware and software.

The equipment, an e-reader, is highly specialized in contrast to a notebook computer which may perform many different functions. As various aspects of hardware such as memory chips, storage, display technology, etc... decline in cost and shrink in size, the economics of highly specialized hardware improves. Any e-book reader is an expression of that fact. The continuing evolution of highly specialized hardware and software is very important. It reduces the complexity of using the technology and broadens the potential user base.

An e-book reader generally also uses mobile phone technology instead of Wi-Fi or broadband internet access to the web. Mobile phone technology access to the web is an extraordinarily important aspect of web connection. As a result, the user of e-book reader technology can access and purchase e-books from nearly any location. This approach to product delivery is extraordinarily important to any one trying to a make an electronic consumer sale of published materials.

The main players in this arena are Amazon and Sony. Amazon's Kindle 2, the market leading e-book reader, is competing with Sony's new e-book reader which has just been announced as an open format e-book reader using the e-Pub format. The new Sony reader is called the "Daily Edition." The USA Today had a great article in its Tuesday August 26, 2009 internet edition as part of the technology section. This article described what Sony is trying to do with its new e-reader. The article is entitled, Sony's Reader Daily Edition takes on Amazon's Kindle. In a very exciting aspect of Sony's announcement, the new Daily Edition will be able to download content in the e-Pub format from many libraries around the country for free. The Sony e-book reader is using AT&T's 3G network while Amazon is using Sprint's mobile phone network.  

The e-book reader regardless of who creates it is a college student backpack size reducer and a business person brief case size reducer. Such e-book readers are having an evolutionary impact on the future of print media. Now that the technology is mobile and is contained in a compact and easy to us device, the growth of e-publishing is going to be explosive and game changing.

Erich P. Rapp.